Retail Demand Forecasting
Retail demand forecasting is the use of advanced analytics to predict future customer demand for products across stores, channels, and regions. It ingests historical sales, seasonality, promotions, price changes, and external factors like holidays or weather to generate granular forecasts at SKU, store, and channel levels. These forecasts guide buying, replenishment, assortment, and distribution decisions throughout the retail and consumer products value chain. This application matters because inventory imbalances are one of retail’s biggest sources of lost profit—both from stockouts that forfeit sales and overstock that ties up working capital and leads to markdowns or waste. Modern AI-driven forecasting models significantly outperform traditional rule-based or purely statistical methods, improving forecast accuracy, reducing safety stock, and enabling more agile responses to demand volatility. As a result, retailers can match supply to demand more precisely, improve on-shelf availability, and execute promotions and product launches with greater confidence.
The Problem
“SKU-store-channel forecasts that absorb promos, price, holidays, and weather”
Organizations face these key challenges:
Chronic stockouts on promoted items and overstocks on long-tail SKUs
Forecasts break during promo cycles, assortment changes, and price moves
Merchants and planners spend hours in spreadsheets reconciling numbers by store/region