Protocol Feasibility and Early-Termination Risk Scoring

Forecasts protocol risk before launch so teams can reduce avoidable trial failures Evidence basis: A Scientific Reports analysis of 420k+ trials showed interpretable ML can estimate early termination risk from design features; a separate 2000+ trial operations study showed recruitment and duration efficiency can be predicted from protocol characteristics

The Problem

Protocol Feasibility and Early-Termination Risk Scoring

Organizations face these key challenges:

1

Forecasts protocol risk before launch so teams can reduce avoidable trial failures

Impact When Solved

Forecasts protocol risk before launch so teams can reduce avoidable trial failuresEvidence-backed implementation with human oversight

The Shift

Before AI~85% Manual

Human Does

  • Review protocol design manually against feasibility and risk criteria
  • Coordinate inputs across stakeholders using spreadsheets and email
  • Assess early-termination risk based on past experience and retrospective checks
  • Document findings, recommendations, and follow-up actions in static reports

Automation

  • No AI-driven analysis is used in the legacy workflow
  • No automated prioritization of protocol risk or opportunity is available
  • No continuous monitoring or standardized risk scoring is performed
With AI~75% Automated

Human Does

  • Confirm final feasibility and early-termination risk decisions before protocol launch
  • Review flagged risks and approve mitigation actions or protocol changes
  • Handle exceptions, missing context, and cases that require expert judgment

AI Handles

  • Score protocol feasibility and early-termination risk from protocol characteristics
  • Prioritize high-risk design elements and surface likely operational issues early
  • Generate consistent risk summaries and recommended follow-up areas for review
  • Track scoring outputs across reviews to support standardized reporting and triage

Operating Intelligence

How Protocol Feasibility and Early-Termination Risk Scoring runs once it is live

AI runs the first three steps autonomously.

Humans own every decision.

The system gets smarter each cycle.

Confidence95%
ArchetypeRecommend & Decide
Shape6-step converge
Human gates1
Autonomy
67%AI controls 4 of 6 steps

Who is in control at each step

Each column marks the operating owner for that step. AI-led actions sit above the divider, human decisions and feedback loops sit below it.

Loop shapeconverge

Step 1

Assemble Context

Step 2

Analyze

Step 3

Recommend

Step 4

Human Decision

Step 5

Execute

Step 6

Feedback

AI lead

Autonomous execution

1AI
2AI
3AI
5AI
gate

Human lead

Approval, override, feedback

4Human
6 Loop
AI-led step
Human-controlled step
Feedback loop
TL;DR

AI handles assembly, analysis, and execution. The human gate sits at the decision point. Every cycle refines future recommendations.

The Loop

6 steps

1 operating angles mapped

Operational Depth

Technologies

Technologies commonly used in Protocol Feasibility and Early-Termination Risk Scoring implementations:

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