AI Refinery Process Optimization

Optimizes refinery unit setpoints and constraints using AI to improve throughput, energy intensity, and product quality.

The Problem

Reduce refinery yield loss and energy intensity

Organizations face these key challenges:

1

Frequent operating upsets and constraint chasing due to changing crude slates, ambient conditions, and equipment fouling, leading to yield loss and energy spikes

2

Delayed or sparse quality measurements (lab turnaround times of hours) causing off-spec giveaways, reblending, and conservative operating margins

3

Siloed optimization across units (CDU/VDU, FCC, hydrocrackers, hydrotreaters, reformers) that misses site-wide interactions like hydrogen balance, steam/power limits, and flare constraints

Impact When Solved

0.5–2.0 kbpd incremental distillate/gasoline yield via tighter cutpoint and severity optimization1–3% reduction in fired heater fuel and steam use through exchanger fouling-aware setpoints and improved heat integration20–40% reduction in off-spec events and product giveaway by deploying AI soft sensors and predictive constraint management

The Shift

Before AI~85% Manual

Human Does

  • Review historian trends, lab results, and unit KPIs to assess current performance
  • Manually adjust unit setpoints and operating targets based on experience and alarms
  • Coordinate trade-offs across units for yield, energy, hydrogen, and product quality
  • Investigate off-spec events, energy spikes, and yield losses through retrospective analysis

Automation

  • Provide basic alarms and APC or RTO model outputs from existing rule-based workflows
  • Aggregate routine process measurements and historical operating data for review
  • Surface standard reports on throughput, energy use, and constraint performance
With AI~75% Automated

Human Does

  • Approve recommended operating targets and constraint changes for each unit
  • Decide margin, energy, emissions, and quality trade-offs during changing operating conditions
  • Handle safety, reliability, and compliance exceptions when recommendations conflict with plant realities

AI Handles

  • Continuously monitor process conditions, sensor health, and likely measurement reliability issues
  • Predict yields, product quality, energy use, and constraint risks from current operating conditions
  • Recommend coordinated setpoint and severity adjustments across interacting refinery units
  • Detect emerging underperformance or off-spec risk and explain likely drivers and actions

Operating Intelligence

How AI Refinery Process Optimization runs once it is live

AI runs the first three steps autonomously.

Humans own every decision.

The system gets smarter each cycle.

Confidence95%
ArchetypeRecommend & Decide
Shape6-step converge
Human gates1
Autonomy
67%AI controls 4 of 6 steps

Who is in control at each step

Each column marks the operating owner for that step. AI-led actions sit above the divider, human decisions and feedback loops sit below it.

Loop shapeconverge

Step 1

Assemble Context

Step 2

Analyze

Step 3

Recommend

Step 4

Human Decision

Step 5

Execute

Step 6

Feedback

AI lead

Autonomous execution

1AI
2AI
3AI
5AI
gate

Human lead

Approval, override, feedback

4Human
6 Loop
AI-led step
Human-controlled step
Feedback loop
TL;DR

AI handles assembly, analysis, and execution. The human gate sits at the decision point. Every cycle refines future recommendations.

The Loop

6 steps

1 operating angles mapped

Operational Depth

Technologies

Technologies commonly used in AI Refinery Process Optimization implementations:

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Key Players

Companies actively working on AI Refinery Process Optimization solutions:

Real-World Use Cases

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